US Gaming Groups Push for Ban on Sports Prediction Markets
美國博弈團體推動禁止體育賽事預測市場
更新於: 2026年6月18日 上午03:45
A high-stakes battle is unfolding in the U.S. as a coalition of gaming industry leaders and labor unions pushes for federal legislation to curb the rise of sports-betting-style prediction markets.
一場高風險的戰役正在美國展開，一個由博弈產業領袖與工會組成的聯盟正推動聯邦立法，以遏止類運動博弈預測市場的興起。
Organizations like the American Gaming Association and the Indian Gaming Association argue that platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket are essentially operating as unlicensed sportsbooks.
諸如美國博弈協會(American Gaming Association)與印地安博弈協會(Indian Gaming Association)等組織主張，像Kalshi與Polymarket這類平台本質上是在經營無照的運動博弈。
While these companies label their offerings as financial derivatives regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), critics contend this creates a dangerous regulatory loophole.
儘管這些公司稱其產品為受商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)監管的金融衍生性商品，批評者卻認為這造成了危險的監管漏洞。
The coalition is now lobbying for the CLARITY Act to include language that explicitly bars the CFTC from overseeing sports and casino-style contracts, maintaining that such activities belong under the purview of state gaming authorities.
該聯盟目前正遊說《清晰法案》(CLARITY Act)納入明確條款，禁止CFTC監管運動與賭場類型的合約，並堅持這類活動應歸於各州博弈管理機關的管轄範疇。
On the other hand, prediction markets argue they offer valuable information services and warn that restrictive bans could push innovation overseas.
另一方面，預測市場業者則主張他們提供了有價值的資訊服務，並警告限制性的禁令可能會迫使創新轉向海外。
Ultimately, this conflict will likely determine the legal boundary between financial speculation and gambling in the United States.
歸根結柢，這場衝突很可能會決定美國境內金融投機與賭博之間的法律界限。
