IMF expected to lower global economic growth forecast
國際貨幣基金組織預計將下調全球經濟成長預測
Driven by an AI-investment boom, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected a resilient 3.3% growth rate.
在人工智慧投資熱潮的推動下，國際貨幣基金組織預測經濟成長率將有3.3%的強勁表現。
The primary catalyst for this shift is the Iran War, which began in late February 2026.
導致此一轉變的主要催化劑是始於2026年2月下旬的伊朗戰爭。
This conflict has severely disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, a critical energy chokepoint, leading to skyrocketing oil prices and supply chain bottlenecks.
這場衝突嚴重擾亂了關鍵的能源咽喉點——荷姆茲海峽，導致油價飆升及供應鏈瓶頸。
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warns of long-term "scarring effects," noting that a simple return to normal is unlikely.
國際貨幣基金組織總裁克里斯塔利娜·格奧爾基耶娃警告稱，這將產生長期的「創傷效應」，並指出想要簡單回歸常態是不太可能的。
The economic consequences are significant: global inflation is rising, and growth projections are being cut.
經濟後果十分嚴重：全球通膨持續上升，成長預測也被下調。
Furthermore, the IMF, World Bank, and World Food Programme warn that these disruptions threaten food security for roughly 45 million people.
此外，國際貨幣基金組織、世界銀行及世界糧食計畫署警告，這些干擾威脅到約4,500萬人的糧食安全。
Central banks now face a difficult dilemma: they must combat war-induced inflation while trying to prevent a total economic slowdown.
各國央行現正面臨艱難的兩難：必須對抗戰爭引發的通膨，同時又要設法防止經濟全面放緩。
As experts gather in Washington for the April meetings, the focus has shifted from growth to stability in an era marked by increasing geopolitical uncertainty and cascading global risks.
隨著專家們齊聚華盛頓參加4月的會議，焦點已從經濟成長轉向在地緣政治不確定性增加與全球風險連鎖反應時代下的穩定性。
