Taiwan raises 2026 economic growth forecast to 9.45 percent
台灣將2026年經濟成長預測上調至9.45%
更新於: 2026年6月19日 上午11:01
Taiwan's economic outlook has received a significant boost.
台灣的經濟展望迎來了重大的推升。
On June 18, 2026, the Central Bank of Taiwan (CBC) raised its annual economic growth forecast to 9.45%, a notable increase from the 7.25% projected in March.
2026年6月18日，中央銀行將年度經濟成長率預測上調至9.45%，較3月預估的7.25%有顯著提升。
This expected growth would mark the country's strongest performance in 16 years, largely fueled by the global artificial intelligence (AI) boom and the ongoing success of Taiwan’s semiconductor industry, led by powerhouses like TSMC.
這波預期成長將創下該國16年來最強勁的表現，主因是全球人工智慧(AI)浪潮與台灣半導體產業持續優異的表現，在台積電等產業龍頭的帶領下蓬勃發展。
Despite this surge, inflation remains a focus.
儘管成長強勁，通貨膨脹仍是關注焦點。
The central bank raised its Consumer Price Index forecast to 1.91%, keeping it just below the 2% warning threshold.
央行將消費者物價指數預測上調至1.91%，使其維持在2%的警戒線之下。
Because inflation is seen as manageable, the central bank decided to hold the benchmark interest rate steady at 2.00% for the ninth consecutive quarter.
鑑於通膨仍在可控範圍，央行決定將基準利率連續第九季維持在2.00%不變。
While the economy is thriving, the bank remains cautious regarding property and equity market leverage, maintaining selective credit controls.
儘管經濟繁榮，央行對於房地產與股市的槓桿仍保持謹慎，並維持特定信用管制。
Overall, the combination of robust exports and strong private investment has solidified Taiwan's position in the global tech landscape, further driving the current rally in the Taiwan Stock Exchange.
總體而言，強勁的出口與穩健的民間投資相結合，鞏固了台灣在全球科技版圖中的地位，進一步帶動台灣股市當前的漲勢。
