研究警告聖嬰現象將導致數十萬起高溫相關死亡病例
Study warns of hundreds of thousands of heat-related deaths due to El Niño
Updated at: September 26, 2026 at 03:05 AM
氣候影響實驗室於2026年9月發布的一份報告警告了一場嚴重的人道主義危機。
A report released in September 2026 by the Climate Impact Lab warns of a critical humanitarian crisis.
目前這場「超級」聖嬰現象預計將導致2026年6月至2027年2月期間，全球額外增加451,000例與高溫相關的死亡人數。
The current 'super' El Niño event is projected to cause 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide between June 2026 and February 2027.
研究人員分析了24,000個地區的數據，發現這種天氣模式導致極端高溫日增加了44%。
By analyzing data from 24,000 regions, researchers found that this weather pattern leads to a 44% increase in extremely hot days.
全球南方面臨最嚴峻的風險，僅薩赫爾地區就佔了近67,000例死亡。
The Global South faces the most severe risks, with the Sahel region alone accounting for nearly 67,000 deaths.
科學家將此事件描述為「來自未來的明信片」，說明了由於氣候變遷，這些狀況可能在二十年後成為常態。
Scientists describe this event as a 'postcard from the future,' illustrating conditions that could become standard in two decades due to climate change.
這些死亡率預測特別令人震驚，因為它們僅考慮了高溫，未包含聖嬰現象帶來的其他後果，如乾旱和糧食不安全。
These mortality projections are particularly alarming because they only account for heat, excluding other El Niño consequences like drought and food insecurity.
雖然這項研究尚未經過正式的同儕審查，但它對各國政府發出了緊急呼籲，要求優先採取緊急干預措施，以保護其最脆弱的公民免受極端高溫的威脅。
While the study has not yet undergone formal peer review, it serves as an urgent call for governments to prioritize emergency interventions to protect their most vulnerable citizens from extreme heat.
